FloodPredictor by Practical Predictions

Our Accountability Commitment

Flood Predictor publishes every prediction it makes and logs every warning it issues. We do this for two reasons.

First, to learn. Every prediction is a testable hypothesis. When we get it wrong we want to know, so we can get better. Our model improves every time a flood happens that we predicted — or failed to predict.

Second, to hold power to account. When flood risk exceeds our warning threshold, we notify the relevant TD and local councillor by email, automatically. This is logged here publicly. If a community floods and the warning was sent, that is on the record. If the warning was not acted on, that is also on the record.

We believe that access to predictive information should not be limited to those who can afford it, and that public representatives should be held to the same standard of awareness as any citizen with a smartphone.

Prediction Log

Every flood risk prediction made by the platform, by day. Showing predictions where flood probability exceeded 25% (Watch level or above).

Last 7 days Last 30 days All time 168 records
Date / Time Station River County Risk Level Prob % Ground Conditions Coastal Outcome
05 Mar 26 20:22 Rossaveel Pier Carrowroe_South Galway Watch 40% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:07 Rossaveel Pier Carrowroe_South Galway Watch 45% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
07 Mar 26 07:52 Rossaveel Pier Carrowroe_South Galway Watch 42% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:37 Spiddal Owenboliska Galway Warning 52% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:07 Spiddal Owenboliska Galway Warning 50% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 07:52 Spiddal Owenboliska Galway Watch 44% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
06 Mar 26 11:22 Shannagurraun — — Watch 43% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
05 Mar 26 19:52 Enniscrone Pier Bellawaddy Sligo Warning 53% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:37 Enniscrone Pier Bellawaddy Sligo Watch 44% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 07:52 Enniscrone Pier Bellawaddy Sligo Watch 43% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:52 Ballina Moy Mayo Watch 41% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 19:37 Ballina Moy Mayo Watch 43% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 07:52 Ballina Moy Mayo Watch 39% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
06 Mar 26 19:07 Port Bridge Swilly Donegal Watch 49% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
07 Mar 26 06:37 Port Bridge Swilly Donegal Watch 42% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
05 Mar 26 20:22 Malin Head Ballygorman Donegal Watch 44% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:52 Malin Head Ballygorman Donegal Watch 42% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
07 Mar 26 07:52 Malin Head Ballygorman Donegal Watch 40% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs 🌊 Pending

Official Notifications

Every email sent to a public representative when flood risk exceeded our warning threshold.

Date / Time Station / Area Representative Risk Level Probability Outcome
Official notifications will appear here as warnings are issued. System operational and monitoring.

How Accurate Are We?

0
Predictions Issued
0
Confirmed Floods
0
False Alarms
0
Pending
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Accuracy Rate

Accuracy improves over time as outcomes are confirmed. Pending predictions are those where the risk window has not yet closed. Accuracy rate = confirmed floods ÷ (confirmed + false alarms) × 100.