FloodPredictor by Practical Predictions

Our Accountability Commitment

Flood Predictor publishes every prediction it makes and logs every warning it issues. We do this for two reasons.

First, to learn. Every prediction is a testable hypothesis. When we get it wrong we want to know, so we can get better. Our model improves every time a flood happens that we predicted — or failed to predict.

Second, to hold power to account. When flood risk exceeds our warning threshold, we notify the relevant TD and local councillor by email, automatically. This is logged here publicly. If a community floods and the warning was sent, that is on the record. If the warning was not acted on, that is also on the record.

We believe that access to predictive information should not be limited to those who can afford it, and that public representatives should be held to the same standard of awareness as any citizen with a smartphone.

Prediction Log

Every flood risk prediction made by the platform, by day. Showing predictions where flood probability exceeded 25% (Watch level or above).

Last 7 days Last 30 days All time 161 records
Date / Time Station River County Risk Level Prob % Ground Conditions Coastal Outcome
06 Mar 26 20:37 St Patrick’s Quay (East) Kiln Cork Watch 47% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 06:22 St Patrick’s Quay (East) Kiln Cork Watch 43% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 20:07 Fitzgerald's Park Lee (Cork) Cork Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 08:22 Fitzgerald's Park Lee (Cork) Cork Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 20:07 Pope’s Quay Kiln Cork Watch 45% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:37 Pope’s Quay Kiln Cork Watch 44% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 05:07 Pope’s Quay Kiln Cork Watch 45% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 20:07 Mercy Hospital Kiln Cork Watch 47% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:37 Mercy Hospital Kiln Cork Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 05:07 Mercy Hospital Kiln Cork Watch 45% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 20:07 Bailick Road U/S Owennacurra Cork Watch 47% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:22 Bailick Road U/S Owennacurra Cork Watch 43% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 05:22 Bailick Road U/S Owennacurra Cork Watch 43% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 20:07 Bailick Road D/S Owennacurra Cork Warning 59% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:37 Bailick Road D/S Owennacurra Cork Watch 47% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 05:07 Bailick Road D/S Owennacurra Cork Watch 44% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 20:07 Tivoli Docks — — Watch 47% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:37 Tivoli Docks — — Watch 44% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 06:22 Tivoli Docks — — Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:37 Skibbereen Ilen Cork Watch 45% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:07 Skibbereen Ilen Cork Watch 41% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 06:22 Skibbereen Ilen Cork Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
06 Mar 26 14:52 Kenmare Pier Finnihy Kerry Watch 45% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
06 Mar 26 19:22 Bantry Bantry Cork Watch 42% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
05 Mar 26 20:22 Castlemaine Maine Kerry Watch 41% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
06 Mar 26 17:37 Castlemaine Maine Kerry Watch 41% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
07 Mar 26 05:22 Castlemaine Maine Kerry Watch 39% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs 🌊 Pending
06 Mar 26 18:52 Ballymullen Lee (Tralee) Kerry Watch 44% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
05 Mar 26 20:37 Sleveen Main Channel Brick Kerry Watch 40% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:52 Sleveen Main Channel Brick Kerry Watch 45% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 06:22 Sleveen Main Channel Brick Kerry Watch 48% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 20:22 Ferry Bridge Feale Feale Kerry Watch 48% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:52 Ferry Bridge Feale Feale Kerry Watch 45% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 06:22 Ferry Bridge Feale Feale Kerry Watch 44% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:37 Blennerville Lee (Tralee) Kerry Watch 40% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:07 Blennerville Lee (Tralee) Kerry Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 06:22 Blennerville Lee (Tralee) Kerry Watch 40% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:37 Ballyard Lee (Tralee) Kerry Watch 47% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:07 Ballyard Lee (Tralee) Kerry Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 06:22 Ballyard Lee (Tralee) Kerry Watch 43% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:26 Fenit — — Warning 55% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 19:52 Fenit — — Warning 52% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 06:22 Fenit — — Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:52 Moneycashen Feale Kerry Watch 43% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:22 Moneycashen Feale Kerry Watch 44% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 05:07 Moneycashen Feale Kerry Watch 42% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 21:07 Adare Manor Maigue Limerick Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 08:37 Adare Manor Maigue Limerick Watch 41% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 22:37 Blackabbey Maigue Limerick Watch 39% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 21:07 Blackabbey Maigue Limerick Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending

Official Notifications

Every email sent to a public representative when flood risk exceeded our warning threshold.

Date / Time Station / Area Representative Risk Level Probability Outcome
Official notifications will appear here as warnings are issued. System operational and monitoring.

How Accurate Are We?

0
Predictions Issued
0
Confirmed Floods
0
False Alarms
0
Pending
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Accuracy Rate

Accuracy improves over time as outcomes are confirmed. Pending predictions are those where the risk window has not yet closed. Accuracy rate = confirmed floods ÷ (confirmed + false alarms) × 100.