FloodPredictor by Practical Predictions

Accountability — The Public Record

This page is a permanent, public record of every flood prediction we have made, every warning we have issued, and every public representative we have notified.

When flood risk at a gauge exceeds our warning threshold, we automatically email the relevant TD, local councillor, and emergency contacts by name. Their names and roles are logged below alongside the time the warning was sent. Politicians and officials cannot claim they were not warned.

Every prediction is a testable hypothesis. When we get it right, it is on the record. When we get it wrong, that is also on the record — and we use it to improve the model. You can see our running accuracy rate at the bottom of this page.

Flood warnings in Ireland disproportionately affect ordinary people. The goal of this page is simple: make the information public, name the people responsible for acting on it, and let the record speak for itself.

Prediction Log

Every flood risk prediction made by the platform, by day. Showing predictions where flood probability exceeded 25% (Watch level or above).

Last 7 days Last 30 days All time 361 records
Date / Time Station River County Risk Level Prob % Ground Conditions Coastal Outcome
10 Mar 26 21:52 Ballyard Lee (Tralee) Kerry Watch 47% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:26 Fenit — — Warning 55% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 19:52 Fenit — — Warning 52% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 20:22 Fenit — — Watch 45% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
08 Mar 26 20:52 Fenit — — Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
09 Mar 26 21:22 Fenit — — Watch 43% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
10 Mar 26 21:52 Fenit — — Watch 41% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
11 Mar 26 08:07 Fenit — — Watch 43% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:52 Moneycashen Feale Kerry Watch 43% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:22 Moneycashen Feale Kerry Watch 44% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 17:22 Moneycashen Feale Kerry Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
08 Mar 26 17:37 Moneycashen Feale Kerry Watch 42% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
09 Mar 26 21:37 Moneycashen Feale Kerry Watch 41% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
10 Mar 26 22:22 Moneycashen Feale Kerry Watch 43% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
11 Mar 26 08:07 Moneycashen Feale Kerry Warning 50% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 21:07 Adare Manor Maigue Limerick Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 08:37 Adare Manor Maigue Limerick Watch 41% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 09:07 Adare Manor Maigue Limerick Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 22:37 Blackabbey Maigue Limerick Watch 39% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 21:07 Blackabbey Maigue Limerick Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 21:07 Blackabbey Maigue Limerick Watch 47% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
08 Mar 26 21:37 Blackabbey Maigue Limerick Watch 43% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
09 Mar 26 22:22 Blackabbey Maigue Limerick Watch 40% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
10 Mar 26 22:07 Blackabbey Maigue Limerick Watch 43% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 22:07 Ferry Bridge Maigue — — Warning 53% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 21:52 Ferry Bridge Maigue — — Warning 53% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 22:07 Ferry Bridge Maigue — — Warning 51% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
08 Mar 26 22:22 Ferry Bridge Maigue — — Watch 48% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
09 Mar 26 23:07 Ferry Bridge Maigue — — Watch 44% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
10 Mar 26 22:22 Ferry Bridge Maigue — — Watch 46% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
11 Mar 26 08:07 Ferry Bridge Maigue — — Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:37 Adare Quay Maigue Limerick Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 21:52 Adare Quay Maigue Limerick Watch 41% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 22:22 Adare Quay Maigue Limerick Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
08 Mar 26 22:37 Adare Quay Maigue Limerick Watch 40% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
09 Mar 26 23:07 Adare Quay Maigue Limerick Watch 41% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
10 Mar 26 23:07 Adare Quay Maigue Limerick Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
11 Mar 26 08:07 Adare Quay Maigue Limerick Warning 50% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:22 Limerick Dock Shannon (Lower) Limerick Warning 54% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 21:52 Limerick Dock Shannon (Lower) Limerick Warning 51% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 22:22 Limerick Dock Shannon (Lower) Limerick Watch 45% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
08 Mar 26 22:37 Limerick Dock Shannon (Lower) Limerick Watch 49% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
09 Mar 26 23:07 Limerick Dock Shannon (Lower) Limerick Watch 47% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
10 Mar 26 23:22 Limerick Dock Shannon (Lower) Limerick Watch 43% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
11 Mar 26 08:07 Limerick Dock Shannon (Lower) Limerick Watch 43% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
05 Mar 26 20:37 Foynes Foynes Limerick Warning 54% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 21:07 Foynes Foynes Limerick Watch 50% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 21:40 Foynes Foynes Limerick Watch 48% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
08 Mar 26 21:52 Foynes Foynes Limerick Watch 48% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
09 Mar 26 22:22 Foynes Foynes Limerick Watch 44% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending

Official Notifications

Every email sent to a public representative when flood risk exceeded our warning threshold.

Date / Time Station / Area Representative Risk Level Probability Outcome
Official notifications will appear here as warnings are issued. System operational and monitoring.

How Accurate Are We?

0
Predictions Issued
0
Confirmed Floods
0
False Alarms
0
Pending
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Accuracy Rate

Accuracy improves over time as outcomes are confirmed. Pending predictions are those where the risk window has not yet closed. Accuracy rate = confirmed floods ÷ (confirmed + false alarms) × 100.