FloodPredictor by Practical Predictions

Accountability — The Public Record

This page is a permanent, public record of every flood prediction we have made, every warning we have issued, and every public representative we have notified.

When flood risk at a gauge exceeds our warning threshold, we automatically email the relevant TD, local councillor, and emergency contacts by name. Their names and roles are logged below alongside the time the warning was sent. Politicians and officials cannot claim they were not warned.

Every prediction is a testable hypothesis. When we get it right, it is on the record. When we get it wrong, that is also on the record — and we use it to improve the model. You can see our running accuracy rate at the bottom of this page.

Flood warnings in Ireland disproportionately affect ordinary people. The goal of this page is simple: make the information public, name the people responsible for acting on it, and let the record speak for itself.

Prediction Log

Every flood risk prediction made by the platform, by day. Showing predictions where flood probability exceeded 25% (Watch level or above).

Last 7 days Last 30 days All time 361 records
Date / Time Station River County Risk Level Prob % Ground Conditions Coastal Outcome
10 Mar 26 22:37 Foynes Foynes Limerick Watch 46% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
11 Mar 26 08:07 Foynes Foynes Limerick Watch 43% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:52 Normoyle's Bridge Greanagh Limerick Watch 41% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 21:52 Normoyle's Bridge Greanagh Limerick Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 21:52 Normoyle's Bridge Greanagh Limerick Watch 39% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
08 Mar 26 09:37 Normoyle's Bridge Greanagh Limerick Watch 39% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
05 Mar 26 20:07 Croghan Little Brosna Offaly Watch 39% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:22 Ball's Bridge Shannon (Lower) Clare Watch 44% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:07 Ball's Bridge Shannon (Lower) Clare Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 21:52 Ball's Bridge Shannon (Lower) Clare Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
08 Mar 26 21:52 Ball's Bridge Shannon (Lower) Clare Watch 43% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
09 Mar 26 09:52 Ball's Bridge Shannon (Lower) Clare Watch 41% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
10 Mar 26 22:37 Ball's Bridge Shannon (Lower) Clare Watch 40% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:52 Knox's Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 42% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 22:07 Knox's Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 42% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
07 Mar 26 22:37 Knox's Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 44% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
08 Mar 26 22:52 Knox's Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 39% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
09 Mar 26 23:07 Knox's Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 42% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
10 Mar 26 23:37 Knox's Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 40% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 21:52 Doora Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 45% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 22:07 Doora Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 48% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
07 Mar 26 22:37 Doora Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 48% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
08 Mar 26 22:52 Doora Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
09 Mar 26 23:22 Doora Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 41% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
10 Mar 26 23:37 Doora Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 45% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:37 Carrigaholt Pier Moyarta Clare Warning 53% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:07 Carrigaholt Pier Moyarta Clare Warning 52% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 20:52 Carrigaholt Pier Moyarta Clare Watch 40% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
08 Mar 26 21:07 Carrigaholt Pier Moyarta Clare Watch 40% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
09 Mar 26 21:37 Carrigaholt Pier Moyarta Clare Watch 43% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
10 Mar 26 22:07 Carrigaholt Pier Moyarta Clare Watch 41% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
11 Mar 26 08:07 Carrigaholt Pier Moyarta Clare Watch 43% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 21:22 Clarecastle Barrage U/S Fergus Clare Warning 58% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 21:52 Clarecastle Barrage U/S Fergus Clare Warning 57% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 22:37 Clarecastle Barrage U/S Fergus Clare Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
08 Mar 26 22:52 Clarecastle Barrage U/S Fergus Clare Warning 51% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
09 Mar 26 23:22 Clarecastle Barrage U/S Fergus Clare Watch 44% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
10 Mar 26 23:37 Clarecastle Barrage U/S Fergus Clare Watch 49% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
11 Mar 26 08:07 Clarecastle Barrage U/S Fergus Clare Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:07 Clarecastle Barrage D/S Fergus Clare Watch 49% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 21:37 Clarecastle Barrage D/S Fergus Clare Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 22:07 Clarecastle Barrage D/S Fergus Clare Watch 42% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
08 Mar 26 22:22 Clarecastle Barrage D/S Fergus Clare Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
09 Mar 26 22:22 Clarecastle Barrage D/S Fergus Clare Watch 45% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
10 Mar 26 21:22 Clarecastle Barrage D/S Fergus Clare Watch 42% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:07 Clarecastle Bridge Fergus Clare Warning 54% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 21:37 Clarecastle Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 21:52 Clarecastle Bridge Fergus Clare Warning 50% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
08 Mar 26 22:22 Clarecastle Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 47% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
09 Mar 26 22:52 Clarecastle Bridge Fergus Clare Watch 47% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending

Official Notifications

Every email sent to a public representative when flood risk exceeded our warning threshold.

Date / Time Station / Area Representative Risk Level Probability Outcome
Official notifications will appear here as warnings are issued. System operational and monitoring.

How Accurate Are We?

0
Predictions Issued
0
Confirmed Floods
0
False Alarms
0
Pending
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Accuracy Rate

Accuracy improves over time as outcomes are confirmed. Pending predictions are those where the risk window has not yet closed. Accuracy rate = confirmed floods ÷ (confirmed + false alarms) × 100.